tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5074683.post332097341978347051..comments2024-03-23T07:33:30.972+00:00Comments on Quodlibeta: Luke warmism - how scary is global warming?Jameshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01594220073836613367noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5074683.post-7817030297564859152013-08-29T16:15:24.232+01:002013-08-29T16:15:24.232+01:00James,
Thanks for beating this drum, somebody h...James,<br /><br /> Thanks for beating this drum, somebody has to. CO2 causes warming, that is clear, but there's way too much bad science and alarmism from <i>both</i> sides.<br /><br />I think a great view of your mental model can be found here:<br /><br />http://swingrightrudie.blogspot.com/2010/05/simple-model-by-dr-orssengo-for-global.html<br /><br />I've always phrased it slightly differently than you though. Even if you believe some of the most radical models, the extreme ends of warming (5+ C) are very unlikely. Furthermore, if we project even the most optimistic policies (a universal Kyoto, or an unrealistically effective global carbon tax) will only delay the warming by a decade or two.<br /><br />Hence, I like to say that warming will either be negligible or inevitable.<br /><br />Either way, the best thing we can do is to adapt, and to push economic development that lifts people out of poverty.Hajjihttp://swingrightrudie.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.com